Eric Zorn, who two years ago correctly predicted Barack Obama would run for president, has eight reasons why Obama will win the Democratic nomination. He also lists several reasons Obama doubters give for his candidacy being doomed. The only one that resonates with at all me is this one:
He’s so overexposed that boredom and then disillusionment will set in.I think that’s a real concern. Peaking too early can be politically deadly. Right now, I think Obama is Mr. None of the Above and when he transitions into a real person, political warts and all, there may be a rebound effect when people discover he’s not everything they imagined. You can’t please all of the people all if the time, to paraphrase that tall guy from Springfield.